World Series Game Live :: Houston has the home-field advantage in the series, and this is big. The Astros logged an amazing 60-21 home mark during the regular season and can set their rotation easily now.
The NL champion Washington Nationals (93-69 regular season) and AL champion Houston Astros (107-55) will tangle in the World Series, which starts Tuesday at 8:08 p.m. ET. Here, we break down the World Series odds and lines, with predictions, picks and betting tips for Nationals and Astros, who did not face each other in the regular season.
Nationals vs. Astros: Projected starting pitchers
Nationals: Right-handers Max Scherzer, Stephen Strasburg and Anibal Sanchez and lefty Patrick Corbin or an “opener” (bullpen).
Astros: The Big Three of Justin Verlander, Zack Greinke and Gerrit Cole – all righties – could be joined by southpaw Wade Miley or an “opener” for this best-of-seven series. The quartet buoyed the Astros to a 19-6 record and 3.26 ERA in September. Cole will start Game 1.
This may be the best pitching matchup on paper since the 2001 World Series between the New York Yankees and Arizona Diamondbacks. Back then, it was the Curt Schilling and Randy Johnson duo hurling for Arizona. Houston has that in the form of Cole and Verlander, while Washington boasts Scherzer and Strasburg. Even Greinke and Sanchez are very good in the three-hole for their respective teams.
Nationals vs. Astros: By the numbers
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Against the spread: WSH 97-74 … HOU 93-80
Over/Under: WSH 79-82-11 … HOU 76-90-7
WSH: 54-32, +15.4 units, +8.8% ROI
HOU: 65-22, +19 units, +9.7% ROI
WSH 47-39, -4 units, -0.5% ROI
HOU 47-37, -11.8 units, -7.5% ROI
Team OPS: HOU 1st (.848), WSH 5th (.796)
Team ERA: HOU 3rd (3.66), WSH 14th (4.27)
Bullpen ERA: HOU 2nd (3.75), WSH 29th (5.68)
Fielding (Fangraphs UZR): HOU 10th (9.9), WSH 17th (0.9)
Nationals vs. Astros: Odds, picks and bettingtips
World Series Preview: Washington Nationals vs. Houston Astros odds, picks and betting tips
Oct 15, 2019; Washington, DC; Washington Nationals catcher Yan Gomes (center) hugs relief pitcher Daniel Hudson (44) as they celebrate their win over the St. Louis Cardinals in Game 4 of the NLCS at Nationals Park. Photo Credit: Brad Mills – USA TODAY Sports
Oct 15, 2019; Washington, DC; Nationals catcher Yan Gomes (center) hugs relief pitcher Daniel Hudson (44) as they celebrate their win over the St. Louis Cardinals in Game 4 of the NLCS at Nationals Park. (Photo Credit: Brad Mills – USA TODAY Sports)
Odds courtesy of BetMGM; access them at USA TODAY Sports for a full set of today’s betting odds. Odds last updated Tuesday at 11:40 a.m. ET.
Series winner: Astros -223/Nationals +180
Houston was the best team throughout the regular season and was able to survive playoff series against the Tampa Bay Rays and New York Yankees to advance to the World Series. Washington was able to erase a 19-31 start to finish 74-38 and ride pitching and hot bats into the World Series. That included an unexpected sweep of the St. Louis Cardinals in the NLCS.
Both clubs use advanced metrics quite well and Washington has used it to maximize its pitching in particular. The Nationals have a rotation that stacks up well against the Astros. Some will argue Washington’s bullpen weakness has lessened a bit while Houston’s has been a little off at times.
Houston is the straight-up pick with slightly better pitching, more consistent batting and fewer injury concerns. But is it worth a -223 price tag? That draws a big, fat NO here. With the 43-cent difference, the number is likely lost in the middle, but